Bitcoin Isn’t Decoupling From Stocks Yet, And This Chart Shows Why

Bitcoin may no longer be moving in lockstep with the S&P 500 over a short time frame, but that does not mean it has escaped the broader risk-off regime. In Axel Adler Jr.’s latest morning brief, the more important signal is not the breakdown in short-term correlation, but Bitcoin’s continued relative weakness against US equities. Bitcoin Weakens Against The S&P 500 Adler’s argument rests on two charts that, taken together, push back on the increasingly familiar claim that a lower BTC-equity correlation automatically points to decoupling. The first is the 13-week BTC-S&P correlation, which has recently turned negative and stayed below zero. On the surface, that could look constructive for Bitcoin. But Adler argues that the reading is easy to misinterpret. “The 13-week correlation measures how closely the weekly returns of BTC and the S&P 500 have moved together over a short window,” he wrote. “Over recent weeks, the short-term correlation has turned negative and has been